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The global oil market has faced strong pressures since March due to slowing traffic and vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz, resulting from tensions and wars, especially as strategic oil reserves, which helped absorb shocks, were depleted. Between March and May, this deficit of approximately four million barrels per day was offset by drawing down inventories, with the International Energy Agency conducting the largest ever release of 400 million barrels from emergency reserves. Meanwhile, China reduced refinery production and relied on its domestic stockpiles to bolster supplies. As absorption mechanisms eroded, the International Monetary Fund warned that the world would be more vulnerable when the next shock occurs, while Goldman Sachs projects that China may purchase more oil to strengthen its reserves as current prices decline.
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