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The article discusses scenarios of transformation in the security landscape of the Gulf Arab region. The first scenario involves deepening security cooperation and rapprochement with Israel to bolster deterrence, which could potentially lead to perpetual conflict and the emergence of a "Second Israel." The second scenario anticipates an escalation of internal conflicts and the formation of opposing factions, with Israel being the likely winner—though this scenario is hindered by the interests of global powers. The third scenario proposes adopting an effective neutrality policy and establishing an independent security network among Gulf countries, requiring a shift in strategic mindsets. Regarding economic developments, the article highlights the increase in trade exchange and investments between the UAE and Israel following the normalization of relations in 2020, with trade reaching approximately $3.209 billion in 2025, alongside strategic investments in energy, technology, and financial services, reflecting a growing partnership between both sides in economic and security fields.
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