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The U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) is currently studying potential military scenarios against Cuba as part of its strategic review, amid escalating tensions with Havana. Discussions include the possibility of conducting large-scale airstrikes involving thousands of troops, but these plans do not represent a political decision to take military action. They also face significant challenges due to the ongoing focus on the war in the Middle East following the renewed escalation with Iran. The Trump administration emphasizes maintaining diplomatic and economic pressure on Cuba, including tightening sanctions on the Cuban military and entities linked to the regime. Meanwhile, U.S. intelligence assesses that Cuba presents an environment conducive to expanding the influence of U.S. adversaries such as Russia, China, and Iran, although it is not currently classified as an immediate military threat.
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