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The article discusses the possibilities of the confrontation between the United States and Iran continuing until 2029. It explains that former officials from the State Department and the National Security Council believe that ending the escalation requires Washington to adjust its measures and coordinate pressure on Tehran to prevent prolonging the war, especially given its impact on the regional and international economy. The report notes that sanctions and blockade have led to a difficult economic situation inside Iran, with projections of a 5.4% economic contraction and inflation doubling to 69%. It emphasizes that ongoing war is unlikely, and warns that Washington should avoid pursuing a course that exacerbates Iranian crises. The article also highlights the importance of strengthening coordination with allies and implementing tangible measures before any easing of sanctions, pointing out that closing the Strait of Hormuz could last more than two and a half years, threatening the global economy. Ultimately, it suggests that the Trump administration might lift the blockade and declare victory in exchange for Iran backing down on some of its demands, thereby ending the confrontation through negotiation.
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