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Analyses from CNN indicate that Iran has begun to lose control over the Strait of Hormuz, as shipping activity previously under its influence has decreased. Data shows that over 80% of oil tankers are now heading along the Omani route guarded by American forces. Iran's efforts are limited to "covert navigation," which is believed to be less detectable than before, leading to a rebound in oil flows and a reduction in Iranian control over the strait. Despite the United States claiming full control over the strait, ongoing Iranian attacks and fluctuating oil shipments suggest that actual control remains incomplete, and the country is still unable to enforce transit fees effectively. The study emphasizes that the Omani navigation route is now increasingly being used to avoid attacks, although challenges persist. Some Gulf states are also increasing the use of large vessels to bypass the strait altogether, reflecting a decline in Iran's influence and dominance over the region.
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