Politico: Trump admin's Iranian divide strategy
The article points out that the Trump administration is betting on divisions within the Iranian regime, despite the reality that the regime has remained cohesive for over five decades. There are multiple layers competing for influence, especially around the Supreme Leader. Reports confirm that internal disagreements, including shifts in the goals of different factions and changing objectives, are a normal part of Iran's internal dynamics. These divisions have not yet significantly impacted the stability of the system. The article also notes that U.S. officials believe these conflicts focus more on tactics rather than the core strategic direction. Despite pressures and setbacks, the regime maintains considerable influence, particularly through the Revolutionary Guard, and is currently avoiding any radical changes or fractures that could threaten its stability. While the Iranian regime continues to resist sanctions and military pressures, its leaders display defiance and resilience. There are few signs of severe divisions that might jeopardize its stability, though debates persist about the extent of differences among factions and how these impact domestic and foreign policy.
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