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Suhail and the Flood Forecast

Suhail and the Flood Forecast

In September, the skies over Jordan experience a series of important astronomical phenomena. Most notably, the appearance of the star Suhail, which begins its rise on August 28th and becomes more visible after September 12th. It is the second brightest star at night after Canopus (Al-Sha’ira Al-Yamaniyah). Suhail’s appearance is associated with a transitional phase away from the peak of summer. Additionally, the month coincides with the conjunction of the Moon with the Pleiades cluster, and the lunar phases begin with the New Moon on September 11th. The Moon reaches its fullest phase, known as the "Harvest Moon," on September 26th, close to the autumnal equinox occurring at dawn on September 23rd, which marks the astronomical beginning of fall. It is worth noting that astronomical phenomena in September—especially the appearance of Suhail and the Pleiades—have historically served as important seasonal markers for farmers and travelers. These phenomena have been linked in popular folklore to understanding climate patterns and determining planting and grazing seasons, even though they no longer serve as precise weather predictors today. The transitional autumn season lasts approximately 89 days and begins after the equinox, with temperatures gradually decreasing.

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