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Market expectations suggest a high likelihood that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its September meeting, following ongoing inflationary pressures and a 0.4% increase in the Consumer Price Index in August, with annual inflation reaching 3.4%. It is anticipated that the rate will be increased by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%, with the possibility of reaching 4.00% to 4.25% by the end of the year. Concerns remain about inflation staying above the 2% target and the impact of rising oil prices on monetary policy. Decision-making is influenced by discussions about the aggressiveness of the stance, balancing inflation control with the risks of a slowdown in the labor market.
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