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سرايا الإخبارية
AI and the future of human decision-making
Artificial intelligence is beginning to rival humans in predicting future events, with increasing capabilities to provide accurate forecasts. A recent assessment revealed that artificial systems sometimes outperform human predictors, scoring about 68.8 points compared to 62.8 for humans on the "Forecast Bench" platform. However, predictions still remain largely similar to random simulations, such as those made by chimpanzees. There are important cautionary notes regarding overreliance on computational predictions, especially since forecasting methods are not limited to just final outcomes but also involve analytical approaches. It is essential to understand that predictions can influence the shaping of the future and are not merely tools for forecasting. Evaluating the accuracy and ethical considerations of using AI in future prediction remains a sensitive issue, as risks involve the dominance of major corporations over these forecasts and their impact on decision-making processes and policies.
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