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A recent study has shown that heavy rainfall during the cocoa season, especially between April and June, leads to significant production losses. This is because it damages flowers and small fruits and increases the risk of fungal diseases such as "Black Pod Disease." The study explained that intense rains account for approximately 68% of the annual variation in cocoa production in Ghana, the world's second-largest producer, and that their impact is similar in other regions like Ecuador and Indonesia. The research highlights the importance of climate forecasting to improve crop management and reduce damages, while also emphasizing that climate factors are not the sole cause of production fluctuations, which are also affected by other factors such as aging trees, market conditions, and pests.
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