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British historian Simon Sebag Montifiore warned of the increasing convergence of conflict zones in the Middle East and the world, which could trigger a global war. He explained that the crises in Ukraine, Iran, Israel, the Caucasus, the Eastern Mediterranean, South Asia, the Red Sea, and the African coast are not separate but intertwined and mutually affecting one another. He emphasized that South Asia is considered the most dangerous arena due to the presence of two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan, which have fought five wars since 1947, with the potential for the repercussions to extend beyond the region. He also pointed to new alliances such as the Mecca Agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, and a deal between Greece and Israel, reflecting a reorganization of power. Meanwhile, tensions continue to escalate in conflict areas from Eritrea and Ethiopia to Iran and Afghanistan, heightening the risks both regionally and globally.
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