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The preliminary election results in Israel show that neither bloc has a stable majority of 61 seats, leaving the formation of the next government dependent on concessions from campaign pledges. The five scenarios under consideration are an expanded unity government led by Benjamin Netanyahu; a rotation government between him and one of his rivals; recruiting defectors from the Change bloc; a minority government led by Gadi Eisenkot with the support of Arab parties; or another election within months. It is unclear whether defections will break the deadlock, as the prospects for each scenario depend on the parties’ positions and their willingness to backtrack on their pledges.
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