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Democrats Near Majority
CNN’s final statistical model projected that Democrats would make significant gains in the U.S. congressional midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, winning 237 seats to the Republicans’ 198 in the House of Representatives, and 52 to 48 in the Senate. The model put Democrats’ chances of winning a House majority at 92% and a Senate majority at 71%, drawing on polls and election indicators, including a 9-percentage-point lead in the national popular vote. The projections remain uncertain, particularly in close Senate races, while economic pressures and declining approval of Congress and President Donald Trump could influence voters’ choices.
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