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Qatari mediation, under a Gulf mandate, is continuing in an effort to reach a temporary understanding between Washington and Tehran. Media sources have reported that the United States has approved a draft agreement, while Iran has raised objections. The writer expects any agreement to be short-lived and vulnerable to collapse, as Donald Trump wavers between a deal that falls short of Washington’s demands and a military option that could deepen the losses, while Benjamin Netanyahu is banking on a war with Iran. The article warns that Iranian attacks on energy facilities and infrastructure in countries across the region could lead to catastrophe. It presents the continuation of the “neither war nor peace” status quo as an alternative—but one no less grim than war.
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