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Ibn Khaldun on Israel’s End
The Russian researcher Ruslan Kurbanov argues, drawing on Ibn Khaldun’s theory of the life cycle of states, that Israel is nearing a period of decline because of weakening collective cohesion (“asabiyya”) and growing political, social, and religious divisions. He estimates that if these crises continue, they could lead to deterioration and fragmentation by the mid-21st century, possibly splitting Israel into a secular entity centered in Tel Aviv and a religious one in Jerusalem. The article stressed that this is an analytical, forward-looking interpretation—not a historically established prediction or an inevitable outcome.
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