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The International Monetary Fund welcomed the acceleration of the Syrian economy's recovery after an assessment in July, where the institution forecasted growth rates of over 10% in 2026. The improvement is attributed to a rebound in the agricultural sector, expanded oil production, better electricity supplies, and the return of about 1.5 million refugees out of more than six million who fled during the war. However, inflation saw a significant rise in 2026 due to increased import prices such as fuel and food, along with improved domestic demand, although the fiscal situation showed signs of improvement with a modest surplus in 2025 and increased revenues in 2026.
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