Lebanon's Post-Agreement Challenges
The Lebanese issue has returned to the forefront following the US-Iranian agreement, but it faces a dilemma over who should take the first step: Should Israel's withdrawal from the south be the start of security arrangements and weapons regulation, or does Hezbollah require preemptive commitments? Israel ties its withdrawal conditionally to Hezbollah's weapons, seeking to link any retreat to security and political measures that prevent the party from returning to border areas. This makes a ceasefire a milestone in an ongoing pressure process that is difficult to resolve. The Lebanese internal situation is complex, as Hezbollah associates the withdrawal with rejecting negotiations over its weapons, while internationally, there is a need to establish a secure roadmap for return and understanding. However, this faces obstacles due to internal and external power balances.
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