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The article discusses the escalation of military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and the United States, where recent developments have recreated the atmosphere of the early weeks of the war, with expanding geography and more complex calculations. It indicates that a previous de-escalation agreement is no longer capable of accommodating the new realities, as Iran considers the strait one of its most important sources of power. Its significance goes beyond obstructing navigation or economic pressure; it relates to the future balance of power that will determine Iran’s position in the region. The article clarifies that escalation on the ground precedes any political attempt to contain it and risks spreading the war. Washington aims to keep the corridor open, while Iran responds with the equation that any targeting of its interests will not be limited to its borders but will also include American interests and global markets. This makes returning to previous understandings more difficult and increases the likelihood of further escalation and shifts in the region’s deterrence equilibrium.
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