Stalemate in internal and external conflicts
Lebanon indicates that it is heading towards a period of cautious calm on the political and security fronts, despite ongoing debates and media rhetoric among the various factions. This is based on the interests of regional and international powers, which prefer to delay any internal escalation until the regional developments and regional balances become clearer. The country is managing its disagreements within political and media frameworks, with campaigns continuing but without any concrete steps that could lead to a major crisis. Sources expect that the upcoming phase will be free of escalation, but change remains possible if sudden regional developments occur or if internal decisions are made by Israel or others.
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