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The article discusses the attempts by Israel, Iran, and Hezbollah to prevent the new framework agreement from reshaping the balance of power in Lebanon and the region. Israel emphasizes improving the terms of the agreement in a way that serves its security interests and reinforces its authority within Lebanon, including the disarmament of Hezbollah. Conversely, Iran views the agreement as a potential reduction of its influence in Lebanon, which it considers a strategic card in its confrontation with Israel and the United States, and opposes any changes that could weaken this influence. Hezbollah seeks to safeguard its position and role, and both sides agree that all parties do not want the agreement to grant the Lebanese state full control over security and military decisions, although each has different motivations. If the international community supports the agreement, it could change the game since 2006, but past experiences have shown that the powers of the involved parties shift according to the balance of forces. Expectations remain contingent on the international community’s commitment and Lebanon’s ability to seize the current opportunity.
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