End of sixty days: Lebanon conflict?
The sixty-day deadline set by the US-Iranian memorandum of understanding to reach a final agreement has expired, without any resolution. The crisis involves two conflicting scenarios regarding Lebanon's future: one links a ceasefire to the US-Iranian understanding, which Iran considers responsible for halting the war, while the Lebanese state believes that the framework agreement with Israel, under US auspices, is the path aimed at turning the ceasefire into a permanent deal through Israeli withdrawal and the unification of Lebanese security authority. The main problem is that Israel links its withdrawal to the disarmament of Hezbollah, whereas Hezbollah insists that disarming cannot happen before the withdrawal, complicating efforts and making it difficult to reach an agreement after the deadline. This situation threatens Lebanon's stability if both paths fail.
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