Nader: No imminent war, Framework frozen
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The Director of the Institute of Political Sciences at Saint Joseph University, Dr. Sami Nader, believes that the region is not on the brink of a new war between the United States and Iran. He emphasizes that the U.S. administration will not undertake a military adventure before the upcoming midterm elections in November, and that the timing of any escalation is currently inappropriate. He explained that the maritime blockade imposed by the United States on Iran has proven to be more effective than military action. He also considered that the economic deterioration has not caused significant damage to Iran, and that the Trump administration sees the blockade as the best means to pressure Iran. Additionally, he pointed out that the framework agreement between Lebanon and Israel remains frozen, and its implementation is contingent upon the disarmament of Hezbollah. He noted that Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon will not happen before addressing Hezbollah’s weapons, especially since the fundamental calculation relies on Israel’s complete withdrawal in exchange.
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