التيار الوطني الحر
Source: التيار الوطني الحر
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Source: التيار الوطني الحر
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This article relies on an analysis of the military and political situation in Lebanon following the expiration of the deadline for Israeli movements in the south. It is expected that Israel intends to solidify and expand its military presence there, with potential for military escalation that could threaten the entire region. Sources indicate that Israel does not view its occupation in the south as temporary, and its expansion could lead to a comprehensive escalation, making a broad confrontation possible in the near future. This is especially concerning amid increasing American pressures and sanctions imposed on Hezbollah and Iran. Lebanon faces difficulties in political negotiations with Israel regarding the monitoring of the Lebanese Army, while Israel refuses to proceed with new steps until an effective international mechanism is established to oversee the implementation of agreements. Italian and American reservations further complicate the situation. Overall, the expiration of the deadline serves as a critical test of Lebanon’s ability to prevent the solidification of the occupation or to push towards a new war, amid anticipation of the potential implications of Israeli expansion in the region.
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