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Trump May Shift from Iran Targets

Trump May Shift from Iran Targets

Indicators are moving towards a de-escalation between the United States and Iran, with the likelihood of military escalation decreasing due to the burdens imposed by secondary sanctions on the global financial system, and the formation of agreements like the Hormuz Strait corridor with Oman. Washington has confirmed that it will respond to any Iranian attacks without initiating new strikes. Meanwhile, oil prices have fallen below $80 following the announcement of cooperation between Tehran and Muscat. Nonetheless, the stance of Israel and the United States remains at odds regarding the possibility of reaching a diplomatic agreement with Iran, with doubts continuing about Washington's ability to enforce secondary sanctions due to China's resistance and its refusal to restrict dealings with Iran. This diminishes the effectiveness of U.S. economic pressure.

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