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التيار الوطني الحر
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التيار الوطني الحر

2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z

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التيار الوطني الحر

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Hezbollah’s Autumn or Regime's Fall

Hezbollah’s Autumn or Regime's Fall

The article discusses the evolution of the US hardline stance towards Hezbollah, where it is now viewed as an independent entity strategically and organically linked to Iran, regardless of the nationalities of its members or their participation in Lebanese institutions. This shift exacerbates the Lebanese system's crisis, which has historically relied on alliances with the party—alliances that have contributed to its political and security legitimacy, despite the military wing of Hezbollah being classified as a terrorist organization since 2013. The article notes that some Lebanese factions have exploited their relationship with Hezbollah to advance their own political interests, even as the international stance has weakened, threatening Lebanon’s ability to make independent decisions. It concludes that while Hezbollah's influence may diminish in the future, the larger crisis extends to Lebanon’s governance system, which is suffering from weakened institutions and has relied on understandings with the party. As a result, Lebanon now finds itself waiting on external decisions as the norm. The optimal solution depends on rebuilding the state to regain its sovereign decision-making authority, rather than relying on external tutelage, in order to ensure sovereignty and stability.

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