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النشرة
Hezbollah-Washington-Iran Tensions
Recent events and developments indicate that indirect negotiations between the United States and Hezbollah have actually begun, despite the absence of any official or direct announcement from either side. U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed in June that he had communicated with Hezbollah, while American hints and reports range between acknowledging the existence of secret channels and suggesting that this is part of broader regional dialogue efforts. However, Washington does not officially recognize Hezbollah as a legitimate negotiator, and the ongoing confrontation centers on maintaining Iran and Hezbollah’s influence on one side, versus Israel’s calls for the disarmament of the party on the other. Possible scenarios include Iran distinguishing between maintaining Hezbollah’s political and military strength or reaching an agreement that addresses the nuclear file and sanctions, all while Israel continues to exert pressure. The main obstacle remains the stances of Israel and Iran, with the potential for negotiations to develop into understandings that involve Lebanon and preserve some of each party’s influence. This is happening amid close monitoring for any signs of the "taboo" being broken and the establishment of an regional deal that could include Lebanon as a core element.
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