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Next escalation steps ahead
The article primarily discusses potential escalation scenarios in the region, focusing on the possibility of a broader regional confrontation between Israel, Hezbollah, Iran, and the United States. The first scenario begins in Lebanon, where Israel might take an aggressive military step that could provoke Hezbollah to respond. If strikes reach the southern suburbs of Beirut, Iran could become involved, increasing the risk of wider escalation. It is also expected that the United States would not quickly intervene in this situation. The second scenario originates from Iran, where preemptive attacks against American interests could be initiated to relieve pressure on Iran itself. This increases the likelihood of direct military confrontation with Washington, potentially enabling Israel to expand its regional operations. The article emphasizes that the identity of the party initiating the escalation will determine the nature of the confrontation, and that the outbreak of war threatens to expand in uncontrollable ways.
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