Washington Faces Regional Fatigue
The article discusses the phenomenon of the United States' inability to impose unilateral deterrence in the Middle East, especially after escalating tensions with Iran and its responses, which included targeting U.S. bases. This reflects a decline in American dominance and an increasing reliance on complex escalation strategies. The article explains that U.S. escalation faces geopolitical and economic obstacles, as Iran is moving toward managing attritional confrontations that involve targeting logistical facilities and infrastructure, imposing mutual blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, as well as activating cyberattacks and economic pressures. It points out that the American system is experiencing a structural crisis, struggling to formulate effective diplomatic and economic policies, which compels it to resort to harsh force tools that have proven unsuccessful in achieving effective deterrence. The article also notes that escalation management tends to worsen the situation, increasing the likelihood of comprehensive interventions and an exhausting strike against Iran. Meanwhile, Tehran is aware of the risks of extensive confrontation and is prepared to face it in order to raise the costs of any American military adventure. Additionally, Washington's inability to effectively protect its allies amid the widening gap between military capability and the geopolitical reality is highlighted.
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