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Bab al-Mandab's Impact on Red Sea Power

Bab al-Mandab's Impact on Red Sea Power

This article discusses the transformation in the strategic importance and impact of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on the equations of power and maritime security in the Red Sea. It clarifies that the strait is not only a strategic passage linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden but has also become a battlefield for the rivalry of regional and international powers, especially with Yemen's control over parts of the coast and islands, which increases the complexity of control and navigation balances. It indicates that Yemen’s return to strategic positions in the region and its growing geographical influence have altered the deterrence equation; military strength alone is no longer sufficient, as geographical location and capabilities such as missile and aerial assets have become key factors. The future is expected to hold several options for Saudi Arabia—ranging from negotiation and adapting to the reality, to escalation—since the situation threatens to expand the conflict to include energy routes and trade lines, with a likelihood that the conflict will continue as part of mutual pressure strategies in the region.

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