Elections won’t end the war post-October risks
The article discusses the current state of the region in light of the upcoming elections in Israel and the United States, highlighting how domestic calculations and election effects influence foreign policy and military decisions, particularly concerning Lebanon and Iran. It suggests that the relative calm seen now may be just a temporary pause before a potential escalation, as conditions are being prepared to reopen military fronts after the elections—especially if the subsequent government’s calculations change. Additionally, the article emphasizes that tensions are likely to intensify if political and military considerations continue on their current trajectories, threatening to push the region into a phase of escalation, with possible global economic repercussions related to strategic oil corridors.
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