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دايلي بيروت
Nasrallah's Post-October 7 Miscalculation
Sources confirmed that Hezbollah's decision to open a southern Lebanon front to support Gaza in October 2023 was not known in advance by the leadership. The decision was made after internal discussions based on estimates that the confrontation would not exceed three months. This decision was authorized by Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah and received support from Iran, with an emphasis on demonstrating solidarity with Gaza without broader escalation. However, these estimates proved to be incorrect, as the Lebanese front turned into a prolonged war of attrition, extending beyond three months. The party also suffered major security breaches, indicating the extent of Israeli intervention and intelligence efforts, leading to significant human and military losses within Hezbollah and an internal review of its security and military performance.
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