Lebanon Debate
Source: Lebanon Debate
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Source: Lebanon Debate
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The region is wavering between U.S.-Israeli plans for a possible strike on Iran after the November 3 congressional elections and U.S. efforts to resume negotiations with Tehran through Mohsen Rezaei. The first two weeks of the month are being cited as a possible window for military action, though no decision to go to war has been announced. Hezbollah has not settled its position on whether to take part, while reports indicate that it is working to rebuild its capabilities but has not regained its previous level of readiness. A limited strike may not prompt it to open the Lebanese front, whereas a wider war could increase pressure on the group—even as President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam work to avoid a confrontation. The possibilities remain an agreement that eases tensions, a limited strike, or a wider war that risks drawing Lebanon into military and security repercussions.
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