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Trump’s Midterm Dilemma
Americans will head to the polls on November 3, 2026, for the midterm elections, choosing all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 senators. Republicans are seeking to hold on to their majorities amid declining support for Donald Trump and rising cost-of-living pressures. Polls cited in the article put his approval rating at between 31% and 33%, while 65% disapprove of his handling of military operations in Iran. Gas has climbed above $4 a gallon and diesel above $6, making the cost of war and energy a prominent electoral issue. Analysts say these pressures could help Democrats regain control of one or both chambers of Congress, giving them tools to increase oversight and raise the political cost of the war for the administration. However, the election results are not expected to alter the fundamental tenets of U.S. strategy in the Middle East. The races will ultimately hinge on voter turnout and how persuasive Trump’s economic promises prove to be. A shift in the balance of power in Congress could narrow or expand his room to maneuver, but would not guarantee an end to the escalation or a fundamental change in U.S. policy.
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