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النهار
US Elections and Iran War
The article argues that the U.S. congressional elections scheduled for November 3 could intensify domestic pressure on President Donald Trump, but would not immediately halt military operations: the new Congress does not begin work until January 3, 2027, and the elections may have a greater effect on the prospects for sustaining a prolonged war. Central Command estimated the cost of operations at about $47.1 billion through October 16, while the budget office forecast that personal consumption expenditures inflation in the first quarter of 2027 would be an additional half a percentage point higher, alongside a depletion of air-defense missile stockpiles. The article warns that Tehran’s wager—that prolonging negotiations will push Washington to soften its terms—could backfire, as disagreements continue over the nuclear issue, the blockade, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Qatari mediation, backed by Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey, is seeking to prevent the war from resuming.
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