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لبنان ٢٤
War Looms as Talks Stall
The chances of a settlement between the United States and Iran are receding as disagreements over the terms of an agreement persist. Meanwhile, an assessment cited in the article and attributed to informed sources suggests that Tehran is preparing for the possibility of a U.S. strike and bracing for a potentially prolonged confrontation, rather than a limited operation that would end quickly. The risk lies in the gap between Washington’s expectation that a swift strike would bring Iran back to negotiations from a stronger position and Iran’s readiness to raise the cost of confrontation and prolong it. The article considers Hezbollah unlikely to join the conflict, while Yemen could see a maritime escalation, including the possibility of attacks on shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb within a week—though this remains uncertain. If diplomacy fails, the war could begin with specific targets before its repercussions widen.
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