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2026-11-04T03:22:00.000Z

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Lebanon Occupation Risk

Lebanon Occupation Risk

A senior international source warns that UNIFIL’s withdrawal, scheduled to begin in early January, could leave southern Lebanon facing a security vacuum and pave the way for a long-term Israeli occupation of parts of the area through the unilateral imposition of a buffer zone. No decision has yet been made to establish a replacement force or deploy international observers, amid US opposition to a continued international presence and stalled French efforts, while a multinational force project discussed by France and Italy has been put on hold. The source believes that the absence of monitoring will weaken efforts to verify violations and coordinate along the Blue Line, and could entrench Israeli control on the ground in ways that would be difficult to reverse diplomatically.

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