8 Hrs
النهار
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النهار

2026-11-04T10:50:00.000Z

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US's tacit Hezbollah bet

US's tacit Hezbollah bet

The writer argues that Lebanon is mistaken to count on unconditional U.S. support for the military and political elimination of Hezbollah. In his analysis, Washington’s primary aim is to curb the group’s strategic capabilities and networks that threaten U.S. interests—not to dismantle it entirely or end its political influence. He points to what he describes as an implicit U.S. position: accepting Hezbollah’s relinquishment of long-range missiles and drones while leaving its other structures intact. He warns that a confrontation between the Lebanese army and Hezbollah could split the army and lead to civil war. According to the polls he cites, Hezbollah enjoys 96% support among Shiites, who make up about 27.5% of the army and security forces. He concludes that Washington deals with Lebanon’s opposition in line with its own interests and may abandon it in pursuit of a settlement with Iran and its allies.

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