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جنوبية | أخبار الجنوب، لبنان والعالم
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جنوبية

2026-11-06T15:46:20.000Z

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جنوبية | أخبار الجنوب، لبنان والعالم

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Iran-US War Odds 60%

Iran-US War Odds 60%

Former Israeli national security adviser Yaakov Nagel estimated a 60% chance that Iran would initiate a military confrontation with the United States, compared with a 30% chance that it would continue to hold out until the U.S. elections in November 2028, and a 10% chance that it would return to negotiations, amid mounting U.S. economic pressure. He warned that a war could target interests in the Gulf, the global economy and the internet. He said Israel’s involvement is not currently part of the U.S. plan, but could happen if Washington requests it or if Iran attacks Israel.

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