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2026-11-07T15:56:00.000Z

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Lebanon Escalation Grows

Lebanon Escalation Grows

Following the US and Israeli elections, Lebanon faces two opposing possibilities: pressure could lead to a US–Iranian understanding that brings de-escalation, or failed negotiations could trigger a new military escalation. The risks are heightened by disagreements over Israel’s withdrawal and Hezbollah’s disarmament, the group’s announcement that it is rebuilding some of its capabilities and receiving Iranian funding, and uncertainty over UNIFIL’s future once its mandate expires. Prime Minister Nawaf Salam called for Lebanon not to be drawn into adventures that serve outside interests. But the country has no guarantee that any regional understanding will bring stability or halt Israeli operations.

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