Front Election Scenarios

The article outlined four possible scenarios for the Lebanese-Israeli front while Israel awaits the formation of a new government: the limited war could continue; it could expand, imposing a new reality of occupation; Washington could accept a U.S.-Iranian understanding that includes a ceasefire; or negotiations could resume, perhaps beginning with a truce. The article argues that a lack of U.S. pressure could prolong the war, and that any ceasefire might leave the situation fragile rather than bring the process to an end. When Lebanon returns to negotiations, it urges the country to uphold the 1949 Armistice Agreement and U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701, and to establish a roadmap and a flexible timetable for the talks.

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