النهار
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The U.S. midterm elections on November 3 introduced a new variable into Tehran’s calculations after Republicans lost control of both houses of Congress. Iran sees this as an opportunity to use domestic U.S. pressures as leverage in negotiations while sticking to its own conditions. However, the article cautions against overstating the result as a defeat for Trump or as evidence that his military capabilities have weakened. Qatar is continuing its mediation, with support from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt. A phased understanding has been proposed that would ease the naval blockade and some sanctions in exchange for nuclear guarantees and the restoration of safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The article warns that prolonging negotiations—or using them to buy time—could prompt Washington to take a harder line or resume strikes. It urges Tehran to reach a gradual agreement with clear guarantees to avoid a renewed confrontation in the Gulf.
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