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Donald Trump has softened his tone toward Iran, ruling out a resumption of large-scale strikes as long as indirect contacts continue to make progress. He is betting that China will persuade Tehran to return to negotiations; Chinese envoy Zhai Jun has visited Tehran and met with Iranian officials. This comes ahead of a summit between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Shenzhen on November 18 and 19. Vladimir Putin may also take part, prompting talk of a “new Yalta” to arrange spheres of influence, particularly over Iran and Ukraine. The Republicans’ defeat in the midterm elections is also pushing Trump to avoid escalating a war that has lasted more than eight months, even as he continues to tighten economic pressure on Iran.
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