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A report warns that an intensifying El Niño could worsen droughts and floods, damaging agriculture, infrastructure and food security. Global economic losses are estimated at more than $7 trillion over five years and could reach $1 trillion in a single year. The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration puts the likelihood of a strong to very strong event in early 2027 at 83%, while its effects are already emerging in countries including Peru, Bolivia, India and Indonesia. The report expects low- and middle-income countries—and those most exposed to drought and flooding—to be hardest hit. It warns that drought’s effects on food security may be delayed by six months to a year, amid shortfalls in humanitarian funding.
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