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The events revolve around an Iranian escalation following the Israeli attack on the southern suburbs, as Iran responded with missile strikes and sent a strategic message indicating that any Israeli expansion of the fire would be met with retaliation from Tehran, thereby changing the rules of engagement in the region. Additionally, the developments suggest new balances of power established by deterrence calculations between Iran and Israel, amid hesitation from the United States between trying to contain the escalation and reducing the likelihood of a full-scale war.
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