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The Spanish media highlights the fragility of the military systems in the occupied cities of Ceuta and Melilla in the event of a conflict with Morocco, mainly due to weak supply lines, a limited number of troops, and logistical challenges. Morocco's proximity and its ongoing military modernization are seen as advantages. Although Spain possesses air and naval superiority, its supply and fortification strategies face significant threats, especially given the limited capacity of ports and bridges and dependence on external support. It is evident that both countries face risks of isolation or encirclement, and the support from NATO and the European Union remains uncertain in a prolonged confrontation. Spain's growing concerns about destabilizing Ceuta and Melilla, both located on Moroccan territory, further complicate the potential scenarios.
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