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A recent study reveals that jointly hosting the 2030 World Cup between Morocco, Spain, and Portugal could be a key guarantee for preventing the escalation of diplomatic tensions between Rabat and Madrid, especially concerning the immigration issue from the occupied city of Ceuta. The study, conducted by researcher Qutaiba Qasim Al-Arab, outlines three possible scenarios for the relationship between the two countries in the coming months, based on managing tensions related to migration. The most likely scenario indicates that silence will prevail, with Spain adopting domestic policies without direct confrontation with Morocco, while Moroccan security cooperation in border monitoring continues. The second scenario anticipates a further diplomatic deterioration, involving European threats and potential restrictions without overt escalation. The third and most serious scenario involves the return of mass migration attempts, which could prompt intensive European intervention from Madrid and threaten the stability of relations. It may also lead to deeper economic or diplomatic measures. The study emphasizes that stable relations are essential to ensure the success of hosting the World Cup, as any escalation before 2030 could damage the image of both countries and their investments. This is particularly important given that the tournament requires significant security and political coordination between the two sides.
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