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The article focuses on developments regarding the Western Sahara file at the Security Council during October 2026. It discusses the Council's reconsideration of the future of the MINURSO mission and reaffirms the Moroccan proposed autonomy plan as a basis for negotiations. Resolution 2797, issued in 2025, was supported by the majority of Council members, with Russia and China abstaining. The renewal of the mission's mandate elevates the autonomy proposal to a central position in potential solutions, accompanied by a strategic review of the mission's future. The resolution faces challenges in balancing majority support with the need to avoid vetoes from Russia or China. Additionally, several member states have shifted their positions, strengthening Morocco’s stance—especially with the entry of supportive countries like Bahrain and the Democratic Republic of the Congo—and some states have recognized the autonomy initiative. Negotiating the wording of the resolution and managing diplomatic positions remain crucial to success, especially with backing from the United States, France, and the United Kingdom. Securing a nine-vote majority is necessary to prevent a veto and ensure adoption without obstacles. This occurs within a context of shifting regional and international alliances and balances concerning the dispute.
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