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José Antonio Alarcón, head of the Institute of Ceuta Studies, warned of the possibility that Morocco might take more assertive steps regarding the future of Ceuta amid ongoing tensions between Morocco and Spain. He noted that a new Moroccan move is possible but not expected at the moment, explaining that Morocco is currently in a period of reflection following the events of July. He clarified that there is a connection between previous crises, such as the Isla de las Palomas crisis in 2001, the May 2021 events, and the mass protests in Ceuta last summer, considering these moments as part of a broader trajectory in Moroccan-Spanish relations. Alarcón condemned Spain's shortcomings in security and preventive measures during the July events and rejected a military response, emphasizing the need to resolve disagreements diplomatically with international community involvement. He warned that military escalation could jeopardize Ceuta’s future and called for maintaining coexistence and social unity. He believed that diplomatic solutions are the best path forward, acknowledging Morocco’s responsibility in the incidents and discussing regional economic shifts and their impact on Ceuta’s situation. Additionally, he criticized the absence of direct accusations by Spain against Morocco.
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