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الصحيفة
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Sahara Peace or War in the Post-MINURSO Era
The article argues that the MINURSO mission’s mandate expiring on October 31, 2026, after the Security Council failed to extend it, leaves the Western Sahara issue facing two possibilities: military escalation, with the attendant risks of clashes and miscalculation, or a diplomatic breakthrough that ends the conflict. It warns that any Moroccan-Algerian war would come at enormous cost, while there is no reliable evidence that the Polisario Front has the capabilities to target Moroccan cities. The article presents international mediation—particularly by the United States—as a possible path toward a political settlement, renewed relations between Rabat and Algiers, and the reopening of the border closed since 1994, while acknowledging that deep political obstacles remain.
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