Three US Strategies on Iran Risks
The article discusses recent strategic estimates regarding the likelihood of the United States conducting a large-scale ground invasion against Iran. It indicates that this possibility remains unlikely due to the high military and political costs involved. The current American options include escalating air and missile strikes on Iranian infrastructure, targeting major nuclear facilities, with a limited possibility of carrying out amphibious operations and occupying strategic sites. However, experts believe that the escalation could evolve into a prolonged war of attrition based on aerial bombardments and limited military operations. There are also warnings about negative repercussions on energy markets and maritime trade movements. In summary, U.S. policy is focused on gradual pressure, with the potential for escalation if large-scale attacks against American forces or international transit routes increase.
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